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NewsThe slow decline of PCs and the fast rise of Smartphones/Tablets was predicted in 1993 Pin
Terrence Dorsey4-Nov-12 8:02
staffTerrence Dorsey4-Nov-12 8:02 
I've just read some predictions for the future of the PC, written in 1993, by Nathan P. Myhrvold, the former Chief Technology Officer at Microsoft. His memo is amazingly accurate. Note that his term "IHC" (Information Highway Computer) could be roughly equated with today's smartphone or tablet device, connecting to the Internet via WiFi or a cellular network. In his second last paragraph, Myhrvold predicts the winners will be those who "own the software standards on IHCs" which could be roughly equated with today's app stores, such as those on iOS (Apple), Android (Google, Amazon) and Windows 8 (Microsoft). The only thing you could say he possibly didn't foresee would be the importance of hardware design in the new smartphone and tablet industry.
Notes from "Road Kill on the Information Highway"

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