|
A flawed analogy:
1. viruses evolve, becoming more/less infectious/deadly. as a kind-of life-form, they exhibit selective evolution: if they are too deadly, and kill all their hosts, they go extinct.
2. catalysts do not create "asymptomatic carriers."
3. catalysts do not hang around on material surfaces outside their "container," waiting for another container to come along.
4. catalysts do not produce "immune" substances from their substrates: however, they may transform substances so they are changed into forms that do not respond to the catalyst.
«One day it will have to be officially admitted that what we have christened reality is an even greater illusion than the world of dreams.» Salvador Dali
|
|
|
|
|
1 - Modification is comparatively slow compared to propagation. When it does occur (think influenza) it is basically a new system.
2 - Not relevant to the argument in any major way (as far as catalysts go) - I only put that in because, in the case of humans, are symptomatic.
3 - Catalyst can be homogeneous or heterogeneous. The former 'roaming' around in the reactant-filled surroundings, the later awaiting the reactant to come to it.
4 - Catalyst do form 'immune' substance - that is they change the material with which they react until it no longer reacts.
A catalyst is a material that takes part in a reaction by lowering the activation energy (barrier to reaction occurring). They undergo no net change in their own concentration, but may in fact be changed in the reaction they facility, such as exchanging their original (atomic) content for new (such changes can be observed via isotopic labeling studies).
If you're looking for some sort of religiously rigorous correlation between a conscious macroscopic system and a non-conscious microscopic system then you read the wrong post.
Ravings en masse^ |
---|
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
W∴ Balboos, GHB wrote: Eventually, the number being infected is insufficient to account for those who are now inactive (immune) and the number infected drops off until what we could call completion - or in this case, "herd immunity". The reaction is over - the epidemic has ended. Where the theory falls apart is that it doesn't go beyond "infected".
i.e. it assumes that everyone infected gains immunity, where the reality is that 9.5% (based on today's figures[^]), rather than become immune, die.
I'd say that the cost of such "evolutionary immunity" is a tad on the high side.
"Acceptable losses" is a term reserved for use by psychopaths and maniacs.
I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!
|
|
|
|
|
and politicians. I guess that was redundant though.
"They have a consciousness, they have a life, they have a soul! Damn you! Let the rabbits wear glasses! Save our brothers! Can I get an amen?"
|
|
|
|
|
Mark_Wallace wrote:
i.e. it assumes that everyone infected gains immunity, where the reality is that 9.5% (based on today's figures[^]), rather than become immune, die. In a recent study, those who die from a disease are permanently immune to it.
Obviously, here our A->B includes a that unfortunate byproduct. It's still out of the reaction.
And the 'catalyst' model still holds. In the real world of reactions, one wants to go from A to B with the help of catalyst C. What happens is that one goes from A to B, gets some B1, B2, D, E, Q . . . and a lot of the effort in catalyst research is to get as much A to B as possible relative to the rest (under milder conditions, if possible).
- For what it's worth, I did a computer simulation of this in the 80's - gas/surface interactions - and then had experimental proof as well to the hypothesis. And if I explained it in only rigorously scientific terms it would be basically unreadable to most lounge readers.
Ravings en masse^ |
---|
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
modified 19-Mar-20 7:51am.
|
|
|
|
|
Not all infections give permanent immunity. For most corona viruses it only lasts between 6 and 24 months. We're at least a year from being able to start characterizing this one.
Did you ever see history portrayed as an old man with a wise brow and pulseless heart, weighing all things in the balance of reason?
Is not rather the genius of history like an eternal, imploring maiden, full of fire, with a burning heart and flaming soul, humanly warm and humanly beautiful?
--Zachris Topelius
Training a telescope on one’s own belly button will only reveal lint. You like that? You go right on staring at it. I prefer looking at galaxies.
-- Sarah Hoyt
|
|
|
|
|
Granted. Permanent immunity is not guaranteed. For that matter, it may even slowly mutate its way through the population until the new version comes back to strike again (flu, cold, etc.) and permanent immunity doesn't help much.
This[^], along with interesting considerations, agrees with your point. Particularly towards the end.
On a sunny note, of sorts, the author expect a likely scenario is it joining four other Corona virus' that are typically with us along with the flu, sharing the season - but since kill or severely sickening the hosts doesn't spread the virus very well, it will likely evolve to an illness with generally minor symptoms. Alas, not in a time frame anywhere near 'Yesterday'
Ravings en masse^ |
---|
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
Actually disease propogation is a difusion process caused by random contact with contagious people rather than random motion of molecules.
Rules to live by:
1, wash your hands with an antiviral, not antiseptic or anti-bacterial.
Avoid large groups of people who are coughing.
3. Don't kiss anyone with a runny nose.
CQ de W5ALT
Walt Fair, Jr.PhD P. E.
Comport Computing
Specializing in Technical Engineering Software
|
|
|
|
|
I can see the diffusion point of view. On the microscopic level, all chemical process are prety much diffusion processes.
They have some other tricks, too, such as a something like proton transfer in aqueous solutions: the proton doesn't have to actually move - the charge propagates along the (H20)n chain. Fortunately, disease should be able to mimic this. Unfortunately, however, human behavior (as in deciding they need to hoard) does . . .
I just picked out one model that wasn't too difficult to describe. Is a person sneezing an SN1 or SN2 reaction?
Unlike the chemical in a reaction it has one special caveat that most annoying: unpredictable behavior of sentient reactants.
Ravings en masse^ |
---|
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
So in nine months we should expect the corona babies[^] .
In 2033 they will become the quaranteens.
|
|
|
|
|
Jörgen Andersson wrote: In 2033 they will become the quaranteens. Sorry, but they've already been named[^].
I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!
|
|
|
|
|
I think maybe we need a vote. Both excellent names!
cheers
Chris Maunder
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Maunder wrote: I think maybe we need a vote. Hmm.
If only had some tool whereby CP members could vote on something...
I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!
|
|
|
|
|
I know. Can you imagine...
(You can make your own if you wish)
cheers
Chris Maunder
|
|
|
|
|
Didn't know it was a competition.
|
|
|
|
|
I vote for 'Get off my lawn'-ies
Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.
-- 6079 Smith W.
|
|
|
|
|
Asking for a friend.
“The palest ink is better than the best memory.” - Chinese Proverb
|
|
|
|
|
After you eat them, eventually they are.
Ravings en masse^ |
---|
"The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits." - Albert Einstein | "If you are searching for perfection in others, then you seek disappointment. If you seek perfection in yourself, then you will find failure." - Balboos HaGadol Mar 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
It's a pity to waste food. Just prepare them as usual and pass them off as having beans as an ingredient.
|
|
|
|
|
And the winner of the grossest response goes to...
“The palest ink is better than the best memory.” - Chinese Proverb
|
|
|
|
|
I was an avid reader of alt.tasteless back in the day. Nowadays it would be de-platformed.
|
|
|
|
|
Supermarket out of toilet roll?
I wanna be a eunuchs developer! Pass me a bread knife!
|
|
|
|
|
Shelves are bare... no meat, veggies or bread either. They promised shipments within the next couple of days.
“The palest ink is better than the best memory.” - Chinese Proverb
|
|
|
|
|
Good grief.
I went to my local supermarket this morning, and bought my usual bread, 6 chicken breasts, and some beef mince for meatballs. Along with liquid soap, and anti-bacterial clothes washing liquid. They had no pasta, no toilet rolls, but I keep those in stock anyway ... Either wales is being "more sensible" than the USA, or more restrained, I guess.
Don't they say that "civilisation is twenty-four hours and two meals away from barbarism"? Sounds like you could be finding out soon ... hope not.
"I have no idea what I did, but I'm taking full credit for it." - ThisOldTony
AntiTwitter: @DalekDave is now a follower!
|
|
|
|