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#Worldle #618 2/6 (100%)
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https://worldle.teuteuf.fr
proud of this one no map
"A little time, a little trouble, your better day"
Badfinger
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Wordle 835 4/6
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Wordle 835 4/6
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Wordle 835 3/6
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LG had a commercial monitor that they were looking at bringing to market that used lenticular panel like those cards in cereal boxes. Made the image appear up to 50cm in front of the 42" monitor. The trouble was that your eyes were bending to see the image and after 5~15 minutes your eyes began to hurt.
ref: LG super-cool 3D monitor more than a technology showpiece - Monitors - News - HEXUS.net[^]
Graeme
"I fear not the man who has practiced ten thousand kicks one time, but I fear the man that has practiced one kick ten thousand times!" - Bruce Lee
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i just now learned of ai economic forecasting/modelling . this could/may/should lead to replacing the Central Bank w/ ai . incredible . further even the tax code could/may/should be composed by ai . all to maximize the +'s and minimize the -'s . incredible . a brave new world . we will soon be living in a sci-fi movie .
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We need to find Neo to tell us what to do!
I don't think before I open my mouth, I like to be as surprised a everyone else.
PartsBin an Electronics Part Organizer - Release Version 1.1.0 JaxCoder.com
Latest Article: SimpleWizardUpdate
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i beg your kind indulgence and please permit me the temerity to point out a spelling error exists in your signature as i did not think before opening this post as i like to be surprized a everyone else .
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BernardIE5317 wrote: we will soon be living in a sci-fi movie .
Terminator, more likely.
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What I see in (economic) AI is the bringing together of various techniques that have been in use since WWII (operations research). It's just more accessible without having to understand it.
The banks have been able to squeeze every service cent without "AI" up to this point. But credit card "flagging" has increased (I hear).
"Before entering on an understanding, I have meditated for a long time, and have foreseen what might happen. It is not genius which reveals to me suddenly, secretly, what I have to say or to do in a circumstance unexpected by other people; it is reflection, it is meditation." - Napoleon I
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i ignorantly assume ai will find patterns in the economy no-one else can and adjust the levers available to the Central Bank as it deems necessary in real time . like wize re/ the tax code .
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Right..... who is your supplier 
Seriously, the US tax code is a joke, and we (US citizens) keep electing idiots and lawyers. The vast majority of the tax code are favors to different supporters. How in the he double l is an AI going to fix that? We already have out of control micro-trading that easily manipulates the markets.... The people in charge call a reduction in spending a cut when in fact its still an overall increase. Of course, the feds just hired another 90,000 thugs to allegedly go after tax cheats. Right....
Yeah, not hopeful.
Charlie Gilley
βThey who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.β BF, 1759
Has never been more appropriate.
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Economies are far too complex to be modelled. Many economic models already exist, and none have good predictive value. Economies have far too many variables and no constants. The entire exercise is a reflection of "science envy" on the part of economists who think they can construct models in the same way as physicists. It is a total waste of time, made even worse by the fact that models can reflect deranged beliefs held by the model makers.
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the far too many variables is precisely why i assume ai can be utilized .
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The variables are largely based on human behavior, which is often unpredictable.
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the unpredictability of human behavior is precisely why i believe ai can be utilized . isn't that what so called deep learning models do id est find patterns in vast data impossible for humans to process .
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I suggest rather than starting at the Central Bank, let's pick a small town out of the way where the damage won't be catastrophic
I suppose you could run the AI in parallel to compare to existing controls.... might be interesting.
The thing is, hell has roads paved to it with good intentions. Going back to the early 80s, Reagan did "tax reform" and radically altered agricultural financing and destroyed the Savings and Loan industry, etc. The problem is that the government has far too much influence in the economy to make sense. Now you suggest a benevolent AI developed by government to make things better?
Charlie Gilley
βThey who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.β BF, 1759
Has never been more appropriate.
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yes . ai can be trained on vast data and so possibly foresee the unforeseen consequences .
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"possibly foresee...."
fair enough. Let's start small. Other than an over whelming amount of hype, doom and gloom, terminator, the jury is still so far out that I suggest very small steps rather than pushing the red button (with a sign over it "do not push") to see what happens.
A very long time ago, some government gave a contract to Georgia Tech to come up with a super duper algorithm to help with traffic flow in Atlanta. Atlanta suffers from combined interstates at the center of the city (stupid right there) and multiple large venues. So, the algorithm was developed to manage traffic flow by automatically controlling traffic lights to "efficiently manage egressing traffic." It was an unmitigated traffic Armageddon disaster. Turns out that the side streets full of cars got tired I've waiting and said, "elephant it..." and ran the red lights.
start small, iteratively develop it, keep people who have to pay the bills to control the process....
Charlie Gilley
βThey who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.β BF, 1759
Has never been more appropriate.
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i am not surprised a human algorithm of a complex/incompletely understood phenomena developed in a previous era went haywire . i am surprised Phds failed so badly . in this era we now know about unforeseen consequences . to quote Donald Rumsfeld βThere are known knowns, things we know that we know; and there are known unknowns, things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns, things we do not know we don't know.β in a previous era such a thing would not have been spoken .
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Unless that modelling correctly understands human behavior it will fail, just like all other economic central planners have failed.
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perhaps ai can deduce human behavior just as it deduces other matters from vast data sets exempli gratia ai is beginning to deduce the rules of physic and obviously human conversation/chat etc .
furthermore i have some regard for social scientists whom investigate . it is unfortunate they are not consulted by governments whilst forming policy .
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I think that you are much too optimistic.
It is not sufficient to collect a large mass of data and throw an "AI" at it. A model with a set of degrees of freedom (parameters) must be developed, and then the AI may be "trained" to adjust the parameters so as best to fit the data. This assumes that the parameters are not time-dependent, which is an even more difficult problem.
On the micro level, any national economy has a large number of degrees of freedom (underestimated as 1 degree per person). No model, AI or otherwise, comes even close to being able handling such a large number of variables. Furthermore, the "boundary conditions", i.e. interactions outside the national economy, are at least as complex. It may be possible that the smallest unit that may be modelled is the planetary economy.
On the macro level, economists have yet to identify the variables that are important to the economy, the proof being their inability to forecast anything but the most general trends.
Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows.
-- 6079 Smith W.
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