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Just a few months back there were some worried about AI taking over. They had so much faith in software already developed and now, this. I do not know if I am comparing like to like because I am not that knowledgeable on this subject. Still, I think if there exists a software that can replace humans, there should be a software which can deal with this scenario.
I think if there exists a software that can replace humans, there should be a software which can deal with this scenario.
There isn't: because all the models there are (and could be at present) are based on non-existent data - guesses - as to all the major factors. Transmissibility, infection numbers, fatalities, ... none of these are actually known for all (or indeed any) population (with the exception of South Korea where they have tested nearly the whole population).
It's a mess!
"I have no idea what I did, but I'm taking full credit for it." - ThisOldTony
AntiTwitter: @DalekDave is now a follower!
Personally, I think it doesn't even exist because we don't even know what intelligence is, let alone artificial intelligence.
You know, the "South American tribes are stupid because they can't do math and still believe in voodoo and witch doctors. But to them you're stupid because you couldn't survive a day in the rain forest so who's stupid now?" debate.
All the "AI" we have now is ML, and they're two completely different things yet they are used interchangeably.
No, not even South Korea, they have reported 518743 tested cases until yesterday (According to the ECDC), which makes roughly 1% of the population.
Italy has meanwhile done 1.05 million tests, not cases. (also according to the ECDC)
I have no idea whether that's actually more or less for the population as I don't know how many tests they do per person. I understand that's variable.
I think that fact underlines everything your linked cartoon said.
Brilliant cartoon BTW.
Note that you can sort on arbitrary column. (The Up/Down arrows are so light grey that I overlooked them for quite some time!)
As you can see, USA is leading the race both in total cases and total deaths, and even total tests. In "Tests/1M pop" they are #42. (Actually that is up from #44 last time I checked, three days ago.)
I hear from the press conferences that USA is doing everything right. Yet they have more than twice as many deaths/1M as we have here in Norway (3.5 times that of Canada), and we got started several weeks before the USA, and have comparatively few new cases nowadays. We also have made almost tree times as many test/1M as the USA, but we must admit that USA beats us in absolute number of tests. Actually, in absolute numbers, they easily can beat any country with a population of a couple percent of the USA, so no misinformation is given, as long as references are to absolute number, independent of population size.
Another interesting two figures are the ratio between Total Recovered and Total Death: Of those who has been hit by the virus and come through it, one way or the other, how large fraction has recovered. But maybe it is not appropriate to ask questions why many other countries have a far higher ratio of recoveries to fatalities, when we are talking about the highest medical expertise in the world.
It is a comforting to know that the US administration is doing everything absolutely right. If they had been less perfect in their actions, maybe they would have had many times the Norwegian (or Canadian) deaths/1M.