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GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 11:43
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 11:43 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Rick York16-Dec-20 13:54
mveRick York16-Dec-20 13:54 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Jörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 21:36
professionalJörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 21:36 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Slacker00716-Dec-20 13:53
professionalSlacker00716-Dec-20 13:53 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 20:08
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 20:08 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
BillWoodruff16-Dec-20 20:47
mveBillWoodruff16-Dec-20 20:47 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Rage17-Dec-20 0:36
professionalRage17-Dec-20 0:36 
GeneralBayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 8:17
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 8:17 
I'm reading the book, Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way, (No Starch Press)[^].

It's perfect for my level of mathiness. And it actually is a fun book so far. Good book for thinking different.

Anyways, at the end of chapter 3 there is a quiz with a question:
quiz
What is the probability of rolling a 20 three times in a row on a 20-sided die?

As you probably already know this is
P(X) and P(X) and P(X) -- each die roll is a mutually exclusive events

1/20 * 1/20 * 1/20 = (.05 * .05 * .05) = 0.000125
Flip it upside down 1 - 0.000125 = 0.999875 (99.9875% chance you won't succeed).

Turn that into a fraction and you get: 1/8000

Here's the Q
Does that mean, on average you would have to try 3 rolls of a 20-sided die 8,000 times (24,000 die rolls) before you would achieve this feat?

With odds like that, I can probably beat The House in Vegas. Roll eyes | :rolleyes:
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 8:30
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 8:30 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 8:32
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 8:32 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 8:40
MemberCodeWraith16-Dec-20 8:40 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 9:15
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 9:15 
JokeRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 8:42
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 8:42 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 8:40
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 8:40 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 10:54
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 10:54 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Nelek16-Dec-20 8:55
protectorNelek16-Dec-20 8:55 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 10:55
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 10:55 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Sander Rossel16-Dec-20 8:58
professionalSander Rossel16-Dec-20 8:58 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 10:56
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 10:56 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 9:13
mveW Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 9:13 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Greg Utas16-Dec-20 9:27
mvaGreg Utas16-Dec-20 9:27 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:48
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:48 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 10:58
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 10:58 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Kornfeld Eliyahu Peter16-Dec-20 10:41
professionalKornfeld Eliyahu Peter16-Dec-20 10:41 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 10:59
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 10:59 

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