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NewsTarnished Silver: Assessing the new king of stats Pin
Terrence Dorsey8-Nov-12 16:33
staffTerrence Dorsey8-Nov-12 16:33 
Here's one that won't be appearing in the Insider, since it's only tangentially related to programming:

The whole world is suddenly talking about election pundit Nate Silver, and as a longtime heckler of Silver I find myself at a bit of a loss. These days, Silver is saying all the right things about statistical methodology and epistemological humility; he has written what looks like a very solid popular book about statistical forecasting; he has copped to being somewhat uncomfortable with his status as an all-seeing political guru, which tends to defuse efforts to make a nickname like “Mr. Overrated” stick...

The situation is that many of Nate Silver’s attackers don’t really know what the hell they are talking about. Unfortunately, this gives them something in common with many of Nate Silver’s defenders, who greet any objection to his standing or methods with cries of “Are you against SCIENCE? Are you against MAAATH?” If science and math are things you do appreciate and favour, I would ask you to resist the temptation to embody them in some particular person. Silver has had more than enough embarrassing faceplants in his life as an analyst that this should be obvious.

Cash indicts Silver's work on PECOTA as "a glutinous mass of Excel formulas," "large, complex, and full of creaky interactions and pinch points" with a "copious lack of documentation." Then he throws out a few edge-case misses in the analysis...

I dunno. Sounds like a typical software project to me. And it works, so... what's the problem?
Director of Content Development, The Code Project

GeneralRe: Tarnished Silver: Assessing the new king of stats Pin
Michael Bergman10-Nov-12 17:50
memberMichael Bergman10-Nov-12 17:50 
GeneralRe: Tarnished Silver: Assessing the new king of stats Pin
Eddy Vluggen11-Nov-12 0:21
memberEddy Vluggen11-Nov-12 0:21 

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